Kodiak Petroleum
PropertiesLittle Chicago

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Prospect

  • Seismic area over the prospect is approximately 22 kilometers x 37 kilometers (13.7 miles x 23 miles)




Seismic Results

  • 13 shallow drill targets identified (Canol and Devonian Bear Rock Prospect)

  • 3 secondary medium depth targets identified (Basal Cambrian Sand/Top Pre-Cambrian Prospect)

  • Massive structures clearly identified on seismic and through gravity studies

  • Substantial closure, excellent source and reservoir characteristics


NI 51-101 Prospective Resource Study by Chapman Engineering, May 2008

  • Three potential zones identified:

    • Devonian Bear Rock Prospect

    • Basal Cambrian Sand / Top Precambrian Prospect

    • Canol Prospect

  • Deeper, large structure is indicated at 4,500 meter range -- has not been considered in the evaluation

  • Infill drilling, enhanced recovery or solution gas conservation are not included


Summary

Discussion of Little Chicago (EL413)

  • Kodiak management has regularly reviewed the Exploration License 413 to monitor best options for developing this property.

  • The exploration license EL413 was due to expire on September 17, 2009.

  • On September 17, 2009, Kodiak received written confirmation from the Indian and Northern Affairs Canada (INAC) waiving the rental amount required to continue the exploration license EL413.

  • INAC granted the concession as Kodiak's allowable expenditures for the project billed to date were at a sufficient monetary level to extend the license for a 1-year period without requiring a rental payment.

  • The revised expiration date for EL413 is September 17, 2010

  • Kodiak and partners will reassess its go forward options for Little Chicago during the extension period.

  • The continued depressed market conditions for financing an exploration program in this area and of this size is currently not favorable.

  • Major upfront and estimated capital expenditures to execute a drilling program for the winter of 2009/10 are:



  • Economic considerations:

    1. Unfavorable dilution of stock and working interest
      • With the current market conditions and the unit price of Kodiak stock -- this type of equity financing would be "extremely dilutive" to existing shareholders.

      • Or, if a farm in was contemplated, extremely dilutive to Kodiak working interest.


    2. Marked reduction of exploration and development activity in the area
      • Majority of drilling rigs and associated service equipment have moved out of the area due to exploration and development programs being cancelled or placed on hold. With a reduction of equipment in the area, timeframe and cost to mobilize equipment have increased.

      • Many majors are facing the potential of losing exploration license deposits as a result of cancelling work programs and defaulting on commitments.

      • Projects with proven reserves have been placed on hold.


    3. Lack of JV partners
      • Kodiak actively searched for JV partners.

      • To date, no JV partner has formally agreed to participate.

      • As previously mentioned regarding working interest, a JV is likely to be very dilutive if Kodiak does not participate on an equal cash basis.


    4. Area infrastructure update
      • Little Chicago is a gas and oil play.

      • The status of the Mackenzie Valley pipeline continues to be uncertain and unresolved.

      • The Mackenzie Valley Joint Review Panel (JRP) report was delayed from the original target date of Fall 2007 to December 2009. The report was released at the end of December 2009.

        Report of the joint review panel for the Mackenzie Gas Project - Dec 2009 (PDF)

      • The recommendations of the JRP as contained in the report are for review by the National Energy Board (NEB), with final round of hearings anticipated to take place in April 2010. Based on the hearings, the NEB will decide if the Mackenzie Gas Project can proceed. The NEB's decision will then be submitted to the Canadian Federal Government cabinet for final approval. It is likley that other groups and stakeholders will submit formal comments for consideration. The recommendations related to the pipeline at this point are unknown.

      • Government investment in the road and infrastructure are discussed regularly in the press. It appears unlikely in the current economic climate that this type of public funding will occur in time to justify a drilling program in 2010.

      • Current commodity prices are still unstable and uncertain. In particular, this type of exploration expenditure with associated risk is difficult to justify at current commodity prices, including oil. There is a lack of sufficient indication that commodity prices will climb in the next year to justify the cost of carrying the renewal of the existing exploration license.

      • Gas prices are at low levels making gas exploration even riskier with poorer potential. The gas could be stranded for years with the questionable pipeline status.


Conclusion

  • Low commodity prices and lack of clarity for the pipeline have resulted in most of the major players in the area and Delta placing their projects on hold.

  • Some of the majors have chosen to lose their license deposits rather than proceed with work programs.

  • Others have proven reserves and have placed their projects on hold.



    Certain documents available on this website may contain the terms "prospective resources". The Company advises investors that although these terms are recognized and required by Canadian securities regulations (under National Instrument 51-101 Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities), the US Securities and Exchange Commission does not recognize these terms. Investors are cautioned not to assume that any part or all of the resources in this category will ever be converted into reserves. In addition, "prospective resources" have a great amount of uncertainty as to their existence, and economic and legal feasibility. It cannot be assumed that any part of an prospective resource will ever be upgraded to a higher category. Under Canadian rules, estimates of prospective resources may not form the basis of feasibility or pre-feasibility studies, or economic studies except for a "preliminary assessment" as defined under National Instrument 51-101. Under US rules, Investors are cautioned not to assume that part or all of a prospective resource exists, or is economically or legally recoverable.




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    Last Updated Jan 05, 2010